Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019 - Politics

Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019
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Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019

Posted: 22 Sep 2019 05:10 AM PDT

Welcome to the monthly /r/Politics discussion thread for polling as it relates to the upcoming off-year state elections later this year (LA, KY, MS, NJ and VA), as well as the presidential primaries beginning in February of 2019. As we get closer to the first primaries and the general election, we expect to see more pollsters get in the field. When discussing, please be mindful of our commenting guidelines.

State Election Polling

There has been extremely sparse polling for the gubernatorial elections in Mississippi, Louisiana and Kentucky and the legislative elections in New Jersey and Virginia. Congressman Ralph Abraham released an internal poll last Thursday showing him trailing Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards by a 45-27 margin in the jungle primary, with primary rival Eddie Rispone in third with 19 points. These were presumably in response to a private poll released last Wednesday showing Governor Edwards up by a larger 47-24 margin over him, with Eddie Rispone third with 16 points. If no candidate clears 50% in the jungle primary, a runoff is held at a later date.

Presidential Primary Polling

Pollster	Date	Race	Biden	Warren	Sanders	Buttigieg	Harris	O'Rourke	Booker	Yang	Klobuchar	Castro	Steyer
DMR/CNN/Selzer	09/21	Iowa	20	22	11	9	6	2	3	2	3	1	2
Harris X/S. Rasmussen	09/20	National	28	17	16	4	4	3	3	2	1	1	1
David Binder/FORA	09/18	Iowa	25	23	9	12	5	1	2	2	8	1	3
Fox	09/17	National	29	16	18	5	7	4	3	2	1	0	1
Economist/Yougov	09/17	National	26	21	14	9	6	3	2	3	1	1	0
Iowa State/Civiqs	09/17	Iowa	16	24	16	13	5	2	2	3	3	0	N/A
NBC/WSJ	09/16	National	31	25	14	7	5	1	2	4	2	1	1
SUSA	09/16	National	33	19	17	5	6	4	4	3	1	1	0
Monmouth	09/16	New Jersey	26	20	18	6	6	0	9	1	1	0	0
Emerson	09/16	California	26	20	26	4	6	5	1	7	0	1	1
POLITICO/MC	09/15	National	32	18	20	5	6	4	3	3	2	1	1
UT Tyler	09/15	Texas	28	11	17	4	6	19	6	1	0	4	1
FAU	09/15	Florida	34	24	14	5	4	2	1	2	0	0	0
SUSA	09/15	California	27	16	18	3	13	2	2	7	1	2	N/A
Change Research	09/15	California	18	25	23	10	11	2	2	3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Siena	09/12	New York	22	17	15	3	4	0	0	1	0	0	0
GQR/Dem. Corps	09/11	National	30	19	21	4	4	1	4	2	2	1	N/A