| Megathread: Trump Signs Coronavirus Relief Orders After Talks With Congress Break Down Posted: 08 Aug 2020 02:38 PM PDT President Donald Trump signed executive orders on Saturday providing additional financial support to Americans hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic, after his negotiators failed to reach a deal with Congress. Text: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/memorandum-authorizing-needs-assistance-program-major-disaster-declarations-related-coronavirus-disease-2019/ https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/memorandum-deferring-payroll-tax-obligations-light-ongoing-covid-19-disaster/ https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-fighting-spread-covid-19-providing-assistance-renters-homeowners/ https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/memorandum-continued-student-loan-payment-relief-covid-19-pandemic/
Submissions that may interest you | SUBMISSION | DOMAIN | | In Executive Actions, Trump Extends Unemployment Benefits | npr.org | | Pres. Trump signs COVID-related executive orders, including $400 weekly unemployment benefit | abc7.com | | Coronavirus stimulus: Extending extra unemployment benefits through executive order 'would really be a nightmare' | money.yahoo.com | | Trump signs executive orders on payroll tax, evictions, student loans, unemployment | wftv.com | | Trump signs executive orders extending coronavirus relief, setting up legal battle with Democrats | independent.co.uk | | Trump signs executive orders on coronavirus economic relief: Democrats promised last week to file a legal challenge if the president acted through executive order to circumvent Congress, which has the constitutional authority to determine federal spending. | nbcnews.com | | Trump to sign 4 executive orders on coronavirus aid | axios.com | | Trump to sign executive orders after stimulus talks broke down on Capitol Hill | cnn.com | | Trump is expected to sign executive orders related to economic relief as soon as Saturday, officials say | washingtonpost.com | | Trump signs executive orders providing temporary coronavirus relief after stimulus talks with Congress stall | usatoday.com | | Trump announces executive actions to provide economic relief after stimulus talks broke down | politico.com | | Trump expected to sign executive orders on coronavirus relief | abcnews.go.com | | Trump to sign coronavirus relief executive orders Saturday to help unemployed Americans, renters | fox5dc.com | | 'This already exists': Democrats seize on potential Trump executive order on preexisting conditions | thehill.com | | Trump poised to sign executive order on coronavirus relief after stimulus talks falter | nydailynews.com | | Trump to sign executive order on coronavirus unemployment benefits, White House official says | reuters.com | | Trump orders $400-per-week unemployment payments amid COVID crisis, hits Dems for stonewalling | foxnews.com | | Trump orders extension of jobless benefits, payroll tax deferral | bloomberg.com | | Trump Attempts To Sidestep Congress By Ordering 4 Points Of Coronavirus Relief | huffpost.com | | Trump extends unemployment benefits, defers payroll tax | apnews.com | | Trump signs orders aimed at extending some pandemic relief after Congress fails to reach a deal | cnbc.com | | Trump aides exploring executive actions to curb voting by mail | politico.com | | Today's executive orders on unemployment, student loans, payroll taxes and evictions | whitehouse.gov | | Coronavirus has already dealt a blow to Social Security's finances. Trump's payroll tax holiday could make it worse | cnn.com | | Memorandum on Continued Student Loan Payment Relief During the COVID-19 Pandemic | whitehouse.gov | | Trump signs order for coronavirus relief, with lower level of extra aid for jobless | theguardian.com | | Trump is enacting a payroll-tax cut through executive action. But that doesn't mean workers will see extra money in their paychecks. | businessinsider.com | | Trump signs executive orders after coronavirus relief talks falter | thehill.com | | Executive Order on Fighting the Spread of COVID-19 by Providing Assistance to Renters and Homeowners | whitehouse.gov | | Pelosi, Schumer slam Trump executive orders, call for GOP to come back to negotiating table | thehill.com | | Trump Uses Questionable Authority to Bypass Congress With Executive Actions on COVID Relief | thedailybeast.com | | Trump implementing a payroll tax cut through executive order would blow a hole in Social Security and Medicare's finances, economists warn | businessinsider.com | | 'An administrative nightmare': Trump's executive order is a scramble for unemployment aid | usatoday.com | | Fact check: Trump makes multiple false claims about Covid-19 relief as he signs executive actions | cnn.com | | Trump Is Trying To Take Away Americans' Access to Popular Apps by Executive Order | reason.com | | Several GOP lawmakers express concern over Trump executive orders | thehill.com | | It doesn't look like Trump's executive actions on coronavirus relief will actually do much | businessinsider.com | | Trump's COVID-19 relief executive order questioned by Booker | msnbc.com | | Biden says Trump executive order is 'a reckless war on Social Security' | thehill.com | | Trump executive order defunds Social Security, Medicare | businessinsider.com | | Trump creates executive orders that would allow $400 unemployment benefit payments, by-passing congress. | cbc.ca | | Pelosi: Trump executive actions 'are illusions' | thehill.com | | Kudlow says he regrets claiming Trump couldn't use executive order for unemployment | axios.com | | Pelosi slams Trump's executive order as an 'illusion' in 'Fox News Sunday' interview | foxnews.com | | 'Unconstitutional slop': Pelosi slams Trump's executive actions on coronavirus relief | nbcnews.com | | Pelosi: "States don't have the money" for Trump's executive order on unemployment | axios.com | | Top White House economic adviser defends Trump's coronavirus executive actions | cnn.com | | POLITICO Playbook: Executive disorder: Constitutional questions on Trump's orders | politico.com | | Kudlow: Trump's executive order will stop evictions | politico.com | | Pelosi calls Trump's coronavirus relief executive actions 'absurdly unconstitutional' | cnn.com | | Elizabeth Warren Leads Charge Against Trump, Denouncing 'Dubious' Executive Orders as 'Cruel Joke' on American People | commondreams.org | | Schumer denounces 'paltry' and 'unworkable' Trump coronavirus executive actions | abcnews.go.com | | 'You better watch out if Trump is reelected': Critics warn new executive orders will 'defund' Medicare and social security | independent.co.uk | | Why critics think Trump's executive order on evictions is 'deeply misleading' | theweek.com | | Pelosi: Trump's Executive Orders Are 'Absurdly Unconstitutional' | breitbart.com | | Mnuchin says Trump executive orders were cleared by Justice Department | axios.com | | Progressives Say Call Trump Executive Orders What They Are: IIllegal. Inadequate. Misleading. 'A Disgrace.' 'A Sham.' 'A Cruel Joke.' | commondreams.org | | Here's what is actually in Trump's four executive orders | washingtonpost.com | | Nancy Pelosi Slams Trump's Coronavirus Executive Actions: 'Absurdly Unconstitutional' | m.huffpost.com | | Pelosi says Trump's new executive orders on coronavirus relief are 'unconstitutional slop' | businessinsider.com | | Trump's top economic adviser appears confused about new executive orders in cringeworthy interview | independent.co.uk | | Nancy Pelosi Slams Trump's Coronavirus Executive Actions: 'Absurdly Unconstitutional' | huffpost.com | | Trump payroll tax executive order likely worth $1,200 per worker: Kudlow - Trump directed a payroll tax deferral to run from September through the end of December | foxbusiness.com | | Navarro Defends Trump, Claims 'the Lord' Created Executive Orders | thedailybeast.com | submitted by /u/PoliticsModeratorBot [link] [comments] |
| General Election Polling Discussion Thread (Aug 9, 2020) Posted: 09 Aug 2020 06:52 AM PDT Introduction Welcome to the r/politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models. As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status. Polls Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance. Election Predictions Prognosticators Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race: Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races. Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races. Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races. RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races. Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO Polling Models Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon: FiveThirtyEight - this model isn't active yet (though Nate's been sharing some results from it, so it may be coming out soonTM ), but it's the original model from Nate Silver that debuted in 2008 and really kicked off this genre of race prognostication. For now, here's the polling aggregates that they've set up in lieu of a now-cast (which is likely not returning to the model this year). Will likely also include Senate and House projections like in past years. Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House. JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House. The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab. Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up. Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections. Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections. Prediction Markets Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well. submitted by /u/galleyest [link] [comments] |
| Schumer: Idea that $600 unemployment benefit keeps workers away from jobs 'belittles the American people' Posted: 09 Aug 2020 06:59 AM PDT |
| Trump Earns a New Title: Terrorist-in-Chief. He’s Sabotaging the Postal Service When a Real President Would Be Making It Work Better Posted: 09 Aug 2020 06:02 AM PDT |
| Democrat Kai Kahele wins Hawaii primary to replace Tulsi Gabbard Posted: 09 Aug 2020 02:47 AM PDT |
| Democrats in Wisconsin have asked state officials to block Kanye West from standing, claiming that he used bogus signatures like 'Mickey Mouse' and 'Bernie Sanders' Posted: 09 Aug 2020 07:17 AM PDT |
| Russia is actively helping Trump. Again. Posted: 09 Aug 2020 07:18 AM PDT |
| Trump walked out of a press conference after a reporter challenged his repeated false claim that he signed Veterans Choice into law Posted: 09 Aug 2020 05:58 AM PDT |
| Trump’s plan for reelection: thievery — A campaign with no ideas, and little hope for winning the conventional way, resorts to skulduggery. Posted: 09 Aug 2020 05:07 AM PDT |
| The GOP is trying to shove a disastrous provision into the newest coronavirus aid bill that would make it almost impossible for workers to fight back against their employers if they catch COVID-19 on the job Posted: 09 Aug 2020 05:27 AM PDT |
| Europe stunned by American coronavirus response as US approaches five million infections Posted: 09 Aug 2020 02:10 AM PDT |
| America Could Have 'Great Depression' Levels of Homelessness by Year's End | Housing advocates warn of a huge crisis if Congress doesn't come through soon with significant and sustained financial assistance. Posted: 09 Aug 2020 04:52 AM PDT |
| The NRA is doomed. It has only itself to blame. | The warning signs of the group’s collapse were there before New York’s lawsuit. Posted: 09 Aug 2020 03:57 AM PDT |
| Critics of Trump White House decry latest ‘Friday night massacre’ as postmaster general sidelines two dozen USPS officials Posted: 09 Aug 2020 08:21 AM PDT |
| If you supported Bernie Sanders' Medicare for All plan, you should get on board with Biden's healthcare plan too Posted: 09 Aug 2020 07:22 AM PDT |
| 97,000 children reportedly test positive for coronavirus in two weeks as schools gear up for instruction Posted: 08 Aug 2020 09:16 PM PDT |
| Trump lashed out at mega-donor Sheldon Adelson in a recent phone call, prompting panicked Republican Party officials to try and deescalate the situation Posted: 09 Aug 2020 04:57 AM PDT |
| Trump Using COVID-19 As A Cover To Gut Social Security And Medicare, Critics Charge Posted: 08 Aug 2020 07:47 PM PDT |
| Trump's 'Axios on HBO' interview proves how much he relies on marketing to counter reality Posted: 08 Aug 2020 07:52 PM PDT |
| Kudlow says Trump 'did not mean he was eliminating the Social Security tax' Posted: 09 Aug 2020 07:49 AM PDT |
| Kanye West’s presidential bid bolstered by Republican operatives in at least five states Posted: 09 Aug 2020 08:09 AM PDT |
| White House reached out to South Dakota governor about adding Trump to Mount Rushmore Posted: 09 Aug 2020 08:26 AM PDT |
| 97,000 children reportedly test positive for coronavirus in two weeks as schools gear up for instruction Posted: 09 Aug 2020 05:47 AM PDT |
| Complaints Allege People Were Tricked Into Signing Kanye West’s Wisconsin Nomination Paperwork Posted: 08 Aug 2020 06:31 PM PDT |
| Trump walks out of news conference after reporter asks him about Veterans Choice lie he's told more than 150 times Posted: 08 Aug 2020 05:41 PM PDT |
| Yes, some US small business owners actually support the $600 weekly benefit Posted: 09 Aug 2020 06:14 AM PDT |
| Judge Rejects Devin Nunes' SLAPP Suit Over The Esquire Article He Really, Really Doesn't Want You To Read Posted: 09 Aug 2020 08:14 AM PDT |
