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Monday, November 2, 2020

Discussion Thread: 2020 General Election Daily Updates (November 2nd) - Politics

Discussion Thread: 2020 General Election Daily Updates (November 2nd) - Politics

Discussion Thread: 2020 General Election Daily Updates (November 2nd)

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 09:01 PM PST

Welcome to the /r/Politics 2020 Presidential Election Prediction Contest!

Posted: 12 Oct 2020 08:15 AM PDT

Welcome to the /r/politics 2020 Presidential Election Prediction Contest!

We've picked 9 states and 2 congressional districts where the two leading candidates, President Donald Trump and Former Vice President Joe Biden, are polling within 6% of each other (as of October 3, 2020, according to FiveThirtyEight.com).

  • Wisconsin

  • Pennsylvania

  • Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District

  • Florida

  • Arizona

  • North Carolina

  • Maine's 2nd Congressional District

  • Ohio

  • Georgia

  • Iowa

  • Texas

Rules

The aim of this contest is to correctly guess who will win the popular vote of each of these 11 states/districts... but with a slight twist!

Not only are you guessing the winner, you must also weigh how confident you are of your guess.

For each guess, you will also state how confident you are of your guess using a number between 0 (not confident at all) to 100 (extremely confident). The points you receive (or lose!!!) are directly related to your confidence. For example, if you make a guess with a confidence of 100 and you are correct, you will receive 100 points. If you guessed incorrectly, you will lose 100 points. It is possible to score negative points in the contest.

There are also tie breaker questions, so please make sure to answer those too!

If there is still a tie between those who place in the Top 10, the list randomizer at random.org will decide the final order of the tied participants.

How To Enter

Fill out the google form linked here.

There is a limit to one entry per reddit account. You will have the option to change your guess at anytime before the contest closes, but only if you use the "edit your response" link at the end after submitting. Make sure to save that URL!

Important Dates

Entries will not be accepted after NOVEMBER 3, 2020 @ 1:00AM EST (6:00AM UTC)

Results will be validated using thegreenpapers.com and the winners will be announced on December 3, 2020.

If there is any dispute as to who the winner of the election is on that date, we will announce the winners no later than January 20, 2021.

Prizes!

The top 10 highest scores will receive a custom flair and an award medal depending on their placing:

  • 1st Place: Ternion All-Powerful Award

  • 2nd Place: Argentium Award

  • 3rd Place: Platinum Award

  • 4th - 10th Place: Gold Award

Good luck to all!

submitted by /u/JonAce
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Facebook reportedly exempted Trump's family and allies from its misinformation rules to avoid accusations of anti-conservative bias

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 06:04 AM PST

Whatever Trump Says, Reply "Fuck You, and Keep Counting"

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:25 AM PST

Trump Fans Stranded in the Cold for Hours, Yet Again, After Georgia Rally: Report

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:23 AM PST

Stock futures soar as Wall Street predicts Joe Biden will win

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:51 AM PST

Tomorrow, America’s worst-ever presidential campaign dies. Good riddance.

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:24 AM PST

Black Californians accuse "Trump Train" of being like "Taliban had come to town"

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:06 AM PST

Kentucky State Police quoted Hitler and encouraged cadets to be ‘ruthless’ in a training program

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 06:44 AM PST

Dear fellow progressives: The lesson of history is clear — vote for Joe Biden

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:27 AM PST

GOP Election Attorney Rips Trump’s Attack On Voting: ‘As Un-American As It Gets’

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:57 AM PST

The Latest: Biden says Trump is another ‘virus’ to defeat

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:05 AM PST

Trump Repeatedly Fantasizes About Beating Up Biden at Florida Rally

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:14 AM PST

Biden looks solid, but I won't stop worrying until Trump loses. And maybe not even then.

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 01:48 AM PST

'You are no longer my mother': A divided America will struggle to heal after Trump era

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:37 AM PST

Trump Is Barricading Himself Behind a Massive 'Non-Scalable' Fence on Election Day

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 08:13 AM PST

Republican Mask Manufacturer Says He'll Vote Biden After Trump 'Politicized' COVID-19

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 12:27 AM PST

After police pepper spray ends NC march to polls, organizers say they will march again.

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:04 AM PST

‘It’s Like You Want to Stop People From Voting’: How U.S. Elections Look Abroad

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:23 AM PST

Georgia Democrats abandon rally amid concerns about "large militia presence'

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:54 AM PST

'Nobody Should Fall For It': Sanders Condemns Trump's Reported Plan to Falsely Declare Victory on Election Night

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 02:26 AM PST

Trump supporter caravan blocks people from voting in California

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 12:45 AM PST

Monmouth poll: Biden leads by 7 points in Pennsylvania

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:08 AM PST

Biden camp quietly raises money for post-election court brawl

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 05:22 AM PST

Trump Says He Will Fire Dr. Anthony Fauci After the Election

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:58 AM PST

Joe Biden is celebrating Megan Rapinoe & Sue Bird’s engagement. Trump isn’t.

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 07:15 AM PST

'Attempted Judicial Coup in Progress': Alarms Sound as Texas Republicans Ask Federal Judge to Toss Nearly 130,000 Ballots; "This lawsuit is another desperate and ludicrous attempt by extremists to block the will of the people and disrupt democracy."

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:11 AM PST
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Here's what you need to know for election week on /r/news - All news

Here's what you need to know for election week on /r/news - All news

Here's what you need to know for election week on /r/news

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 06:29 AM PST

We know a lot of you are very concerned about the US election, and frankly we are too. There's a lot of disinformation worming its way around online, and we need your help to stop it from infecting /r/news. Let's do our part to protect the 2020 election by stopping disinformation in its tracks.

Here's what you need to know for election week on /r/news:

Part 1: /r/news domain restrictions for election results

First, our team has decided to only allow election results to be reported from the following trusted outlets:

  • New York Times

  • Reuters

  • BBC

  • AP

  • AFP

  • NPR

The submission must be an article and it cannot be a mobile link. Submitting a live feed, shortlink, or a mobile link will likely lead to it being removed. It also must have the exact title from the article.

We are doing this to prevent the spread of misinformation by partisan or bad actors who want to sow chaos and undermine the election results.

 

Part 2: Resources and Commonly Asked Questions

  • Will we get results on election night?

Experts are predicting that it could take up to a week (or more) to get the final unofficial vote tallies in many states. The NYTimes has a really helpful chart that explains what to expect in each state.

The biggest reason for the expected delay in results this year is due to mail-in ballots, which some states are not allowed to start counting until the polls close. For example, Pennsylvania will not start processing their mail-in ballots until Election Day and may not finish counting them all until November 6th. Keep in mind that we've had historically high numbers of mail-in ballots this year, and counting them all takes time due to the robust security measures in place.

 

  • But we've never had an election where ballots weren't all counted on election night!

FALSE. On election night, experts make projections based on statistical probabilities with the data they have. Given that so many votes may still be uncounted on election night, it should not alarm anyone if experts decide to hold on making projections.

It is normal for it to take weeks to count all the votes. The good news is that most states are optimistic that they can have the unofficial vote count available by the end of the week.

 

  • Okay - but counting votes after election night will steal the election!

FALSE. Ballots have to be postmarked by Election Day, and many states require that they must be received by Election Day. States have to count all votes. Counting all the votes cast isn't "stealing" anything: it's making sure that every vote is counted, just like every other election.

 

  • What's the deal with Pennsylvania? Why are so many people alarmed?

Experts are anticipating a "red mirage" in Pennsylvania that could later be subject to a "blue shift". You can read a really detailed explanation here.

Essentially though, Pennsylvania will count the in-person Election Day vote first and that vote is expected to favor President Trump. Mail-in ballots will be counted later, which should favor Biden. This means that on election night, Trump could lead in Pennsylvania by several points, but a significant portion of the vote will still be uncounted. It's possible that we could see a significant shift in the days following.

Similarly, in Arizona you could see a "red shift", where the initial vote favors Biden because the early votes are counted first and Election Day votes are counted later.

All of this is to say: We need to wait for all the votes to be counted before calling the winner.

 

  • Are mail-in ballots rife with fraud?

No. Mail-in ballots are very secure. Colorado is almost completely vote by mail and has some of the most secure elections in the country. Check out this helpful vote by mail resource from the Brennan Center. Heck, Ivanka and Jared even voted by mail in this election!

 

  • Where can I find the official election results?

The only official results are those certified by state elections officials. While the media can make projections based on ballots counted versus outstanding, state election officials are the authorities. So if you're not sure about a victory claim you're seeing in the media or from candidates, check back with the local officials. The National Association of Secretaries of States lets you look up state election officials here.

 

Part 3: Stop Disinformation - Here's what to look for and report

And lastly - we'd like to make sure that bad information is not circulating on the subreddit. If you see any of the following behavior in the comments, please report it right away:

  • Users giving wrong information about when to vote, where to vote, and how to vote. We've already seen organized attempts to suppress and disenfranchise voters by giving the wrong date and locations for voting.

  • Users attempting to claim victory for their candidate before official results have called it.

  • Users claiming massive fraud or an attempt to steal the election by counting past election night.

  • Users calling for violence or trying to organize for violent action.

 

We've got a crazy week ahead of us, but if we all work together, we can do our part to protect the 2020 election and stop disinformation on Reddit. Thanks everyone!

submitted by /u/hoosakiwi
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U.S. judge orders USPS to reinforce 'extraordinary measures' ballot delivery policy

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:10 AM PST

QAnon received earlier boost from Russian accounts on Twitter, archives show

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:52 AM PST

Milwaukee Official Apologizes For Using “WAP” To Promote Weatherization Assistance Program

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:46 AM PST

4 Investigates: List reveals ‘alarming’ picture of police misconduct in New Mexico

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:42 AM PST

13-year-old Missouri boy dies from Covid-19 complications

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 07:52 AM PST

WHO Chief Under Quarantine After Contact Tests Positive For Covid-19

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 04:47 PM PST

Prince William contracted Covid-19 in April at a similar time to his father Prince Charles, palace sources tell BBC

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 03:43 PM PST

Dr. Scott Atlas, White House Coronavirus Task Force Adviser, apologizes for interview with Russian propaganda network

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 01:43 PM PST

US Marshals find 27 missing children in Virginia

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 02:45 AM PST

Gunmen storm university, take students hostage in Afghan capital

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 03:56 AM PST

U.S. coronavirus cases keep rising in grim march to Election Day

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 01:37 PM PST

Sean Connery's wife reveals late actor's battle with dementia

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 06:19 PM PST

Boris Johnson accused of 'giving in to scientific advisers' as England heads for lockdown

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 10:28 AM PST

Scientists have rediscovered a chameleon in Madagascar last seen 100 years ago

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 11:43 PM PST

Whale sculpture catches crashed Dutch metro train

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 04:15 AM PST

Hong Kong pro-democracy politicians arrested

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 01:40 PM PST

Hate crime against Black couple jolts beach town known for tolerance. Johnny and Ann Parham have received a groundswell of support from residents across Fire Island but are still grappling with the incident and its aftermath.

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 01:10 PM PST

Hindu households vandalized, torched for showing support to France

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 09:37 AM PST

Friendly's files for bankruptcy and puts itself up for sale

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 07:07 AM PST

Turkey: 3-year-old girl rescued 65 hours after quake

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 01:59 AM PST

U.S. whistleblower Edward Snowden seeks Russian passport for sake of future son

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 02:33 AM PST

Vladimir Marugov murder: Russian 'Sausage King' killed in sauna with a crossbow

Posted: 02 Nov 2020 08:09 AM PST

'This is my livelihood:' Shrimp boat stolen in Murrells Inlet

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 03:28 PM PST
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Sunday, November 1, 2020

Half of Slovakia's population tested for coronavirus in one day - All news

Half of Slovakia's population tested for coronavirus in one day - All news

Half of Slovakia's population tested for coronavirus in one day

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 07:22 AM PST

Washington state captures two murder hornet queens alive, days after destroying first known nest

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 10:38 PM PDT

Labor unions sue OSHA over lack of infectious disease standard

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 08:02 AM PST

Pa. mom upset after educator asks students to post underwear photos online

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 06:18 AM PST

Suspect arrested after sword attack in Quebec City leaves 2 dead, 5 injured

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 06:40 AM PST

Critical mail delays hit swing states ahead of US election

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 04:07 PM PDT

Australia marks first 24 hours of no community coronavirus transmissions in almost five months

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 08:46 PM PDT

Bridge collapses, 26-car train derailment, some into Roanoke River

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 08:08 PM PDT

Illegal Halloween party with nearly 400 people shut down by deputies in NYC

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 02:18 PM PDT

Multiple marchers arrested, pepper sprayed in Graham at march for voting rights and justice

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 05:09 PM PDT

Philippines evacuates nearly 1 million as world's strongest typhoon of 2020 approaches

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 08:48 PM PDT

'I'm shaking right now': CNN reporter describes 3 racist attacks within an hour - CNN Video

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 01:42 PM PDT

French manhunt underway after shooting of Greek priest

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 02:24 AM PST

Release sought for country's longest-serving marijuana convict. (In prison since 1988).

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 01:54 PM PDT

Federal wildland firefighters say they’re burned out after years of low pay, little job stability

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 09:37 AM PDT

Hundreds gather along Granville strip despite B.C.'s top doctor pleading to avoid Halloween parties

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 07:20 AM PST

Tropical Storm Eta ties record; expected to become hurricane

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 04:31 AM PST

A Florida fisherman caught a gator he'd been watching for three years. It weighed more than 1,000 pounds

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 03:25 AM PST

New York is requiring most travelers to get a negative Covid-19 test three days before arrival

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 10:51 AM PDT

Ex-Missouri State student gets probation for raping co-ed

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 09:31 AM PDT

Costco drops Chaokoh coconut milk over allegations of forced monkey labor

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 11:29 AM PDT

Keesler Airman Caught Trading Child Pornography on Instagram

Posted: 01 Nov 2020 01:05 AM PDT

Changes to the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act mean unlimited texts and social media DMs from Debt Collectors

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 10:14 AM PDT

Rescuers have pulled more than 100 earthquake survivors from the rubble of Izmir

Posted: 31 Oct 2020 02:59 PM PDT
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