Discussion Thread: Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - November 2019 - Politics

Discussion Thread: Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - November 2019
The "What happened in your state last week?" Megathread, Week 46
Trump says he will 'strongly consider' testifying in impeachment inquiry
Possible pay-to-play scheme for ambassador role in Trump administration uncovered by CBS News
70% of Americans say Trump’s actions tied to Ukraine were wrong: Poll
Marie Yovanovitch gets standing ovation at jazz club after Trump impeachment testimony
Mueller grand-jury material urgently needed for impeachment inquiry, Congress tells court
Majority of Americans support ousting Trump from office, new poll shows.
Poll: Majority of Americans are closely following impeachment hearings and say Trump's actions were wrong
Trump ambassador nominee was reportedly asked to donate to the RNC as his Senate confirmation stalled
‘Case F**king Closed’: Stephen King Sums Up Impeachment Evidence Against Trump — Horror icon says there’s no mystery about what the president has done.
Trump impeachment probe set to pick up speed with eight more witnesses
House investigating whether Trump lied to Mueller
Psychologist John Gartner: "Deep inside, Donald Trump is a very empty and sad person"
Marie Yovanovich represents something Americans are desperate for: decency
North Korea says no more talks with U.S. just so Trump can brag
Sanders, Warren Call Out FedEx for Paying $0 in Taxes After Trump Cuts
Two Loony Bill Barr Speeches Show It Didn't Start With Trump. The crazy has been metastasizing in the Republican Party and the conservative movement for decades.
Trump Ditches Flavored Vape Ban to Protect Teens After Learning His Supporters Like to Vape
Mike Pompeo: Last in His Class at West Point in Integrity—The secretary of state’s behavior has been cowardly and self-serving.
Bill Barr's fascist manifesto: Is this man the real threat to American democracy? | Trump's AG gives a speech accusing left of "shredding" norms and embracing "coercive state power." Project much?
Trump being investigated over whether he lied to Mueller as impeachment pressure mounts
White House forced to deny Trump has serious health condition after ‘abnormal’ medical visit. Medical staff were reportedly not given notice about president's check-up
Donald Trump will resign blaming poor health before House can impeach him, Democratic activist predicts
Trump supporters are in a cult, and Mitch McConnell is one of them, says Dan Rather
Col. Morris Davis says Trump Visited Hospital for 'Acute Case of Chapped A**' Caused by Mark Meadows Kissing it
Trump Turns on Pompeo Over State Department Officials’ Impeachment Testimonies, Says Report

Discussion Thread: Democratic Presidential Primary Polling - November 2019

Posted: 17 Nov 2019 10:28 AM PST

Welcome to the /r/politics discussion thread for polling as it relates to the 2020 Democratic Primary. The Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary are just under three months away (February 3 and February 11, respectively) and the Democratic field is still in the process of winnowing. 12 candidates qualified for the October Democratic Debate, but stricter criteria has slightly narrowed the pack for the November debate. Along with meeting donation-based qualification criteria (165,000 unique donors and at least 600 from 20 individual states), candidates must also receive at least 3% in four party-approved polls released since September 13th or at least 5% in two early-state polls in order to qualify for the November stage. Ten candidates have made the cut.

The following candidates have met polling and fundraising criteria for the November Debate: Biden, Buttigieg, Harris, Klobuchar, Sanders, Warren, Booker, Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang.

Pollster	Type	Date	Biden	Warren	Sanders	Buttigieg	Harris	Klobuchar	Yang	Booker	Steyer	Gabbard
Ipsos	National	11/14	19	13	19	6	3	1	2	1	1	1
CBS News	National	11/13	29	26	18	9	7	2	1	2	--	--
Selzer/DMR	Iowa	11/13	15	16	15	25	3	6	3	3	3	--
Fox News	Nevada	11/13	24	18	18	8	4	2	3	1	5	2
Fox News	North Carolina	11/13	37	15	14	6	4	1	2	2	2	2
HPU	North Carolina	11/07	33	13	18	4	5	3	2	2	2	1
PPP/ECU	Iowa	11/06	13	21	14	20	3	9	3	1	6	--
Capitol Weekly	California	11/13	18	27	21	14	6	3	4	1	1	3
YouGov	National	11/12	23	26	17	9	5	2	4	1	1	2
Monmouth University	Iowa	11/11	19	18	13	22	3	5	3	2	3	2
Morning Consult	National	11/10	32	19	20	8	5	2	3	3	1	1
University of Iowa	Iowa	11/10	15	23	18	16	2	1	3	--	3	3
Quinnipiac University	New Hampshire	11/10	20	16	14	15	1	3	4	1	3	6
YouGov	National	11/5	26	25	14	8	6	2	1	2	1	3
Quinnipiac University	Iowa	11/5	15	20	17	19	4	5	3	1	3	3
Ipsos	National	11/4	22	11	15	6	4	--	2	1	1	--
USC Dornsife/LA Times	National	11/3	28	16	13	6	4	2	2	1	1	1
Monmouth University	National	11/3	23	23	20	9	5	2	3	3	1	--
Morning Consult	National	11/3	32	20	20	7	5	2	3	2	1	2
Emerson College	Michigan	11/3	34	19	28	8	3	--	2	3	--	1
Emerson College	Nevada	11/3	30	22	19	5	5	1	5	1	3	1
Mellman	Nevada	11/02	29	19	19	7	3	3	3	1	4	1
Hofstra	National	10/31	28	27	12	8	5	1	2	3	1	2
Harvard-Harris¹	National	10/31	33	15	18	4	5	3	2	3	1	--
Fox News	National	10/30	31	21	19	7	3	2	3	2	1	2
NBC/WSJ	National	10/30	27	23	19	6	4	5	3	2	--	2
IBD/TIPP	National	10/31	29	23	13	7	--	3	3	--	--	--
ABC/WaPo²	National	10/30	28	23	17	9	2	2	2	2	1	2
Siena/NYT	Iowa	10/30	17	22	19	18	3	4	3	2	2	2
Yougov	National	10/29	27	23	14	8	4	2	3	1	1	2
Emerson College	Arizona	10/28	28	21	21	12	4	2	5	--	--	2
YouGov	Texas	10/27	23	18	12	8	5	2	4	1	1	2
UNH	New Hampshire	10/27	15	18	21	10	3	5	5	2	3	5
F&M College	Pennsylvania	10/27	30	18	12	8	1	2	1	1	--	--
Suffolk	National	10/26	26	17	13	10	3	2	3	2	1	4
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	Wisconsin	10/26	23	25	20	5	1	--	2	1	--	1
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	North Carolina	10/26	29	15	13	1	1	--	--	1	--	1
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	Florida	10/26	27	19	13	5	1	2	--	--	--	1
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	Pennsylvania	10/25	28	16	14	4	1	1	2	--	--	--
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	Michigan	10/25	30	21	17	3	--	1	1	--	--	1
Siena College/New York Times Upshot	Arizona	10/25	24	15	16	5	3	1	1	--	--	--
Echelon Insights	National	10/25	32	22	15	6	5	2	1	2	1	1
McLaughlin³	National	10/22	28	16	18	3	6	2	6	3	--	2
Civiqs	Iowa	10/22	12	28	18	20	3	4	2	1	3	2
Quinnipiac	National	10/21	21	28	15	10	5	3	1	1	1	1
Change Research	South Carolina	10/21	30	19	13	9	11	3	4	3	5	3
Change Research	California	10/21	19	28	24	9	8	2	3	1	1	2
Monmouth	South Carolina	10/21	33	16	12	3	6	2	2	2	4	1
CNN	National	10/20	34	19	16	6	6	3	2	1	1	1
MassINC	Massachusetts	10/20	18	33	13	7	3	1	1	--	1	2
Marquette	Wisconsin	10/17	31	24	17	7	5	3	3	1	--	2

^{1 - pollster tests an alternative matchup were fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to enter the race. She trails Joe Biden by 1 point in this scenario.}

^{2 - pollster also tests all adults.}

^{3 - pollster tests an alternative matchup were fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to enter the race in lieu of Joe Biden. In this scenario, Clinton comes in third, trailing second place Senator Warren by 10 points.}

Here's 538's aggregator of state and national polls for those of you who want to do a deeper dive into the polling data.

submitted by /u/dottiemommy
[link] [comments]

The "What happened in your state last week?" Megathread, Week 46

Posted: 18 Nov 2019 09:00 AM PST

Welcome to the 'What happened in your state last week' thread, where you can post any local political news stories that you find important in the comments. This is a weekly thread posted every Monday, in order to facilitate more discussion on local issues on /r/politics. Since this is intended to be a thread about local politics, top-level comments that are exclusively about national issues will not be allowed. When commenting, please include the state you're living in, and don't forget to link sources. Also, please actually describe what happened. "I live in X, you know what happened" isn't helpful to users and will be removed.

If someone from your state made a news round-up that you think is insufficient, feel free to comment to that round-up with further news stories. Enjoy discussion, and review our civility guidelines before engaging with others.

submitted by /u/optimalg
[link] [comments]

Trump says he will 'strongly consider' testifying in impeachment inquiry

Posted: 18 Nov 2019 05:58 AM PST