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Sunday, September 22, 2019

Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019 - Politics

Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019 - Politics

Discussion Thread: State Elections and Democratic Primary Polling for September 2019

Posted: 22 Sep 2019 05:10 AM PDT

Welcome to the monthly /r/Politics discussion thread for polling as it relates to the upcoming off-year state elections later this year (LA, KY, MS, NJ and VA), as well as the presidential primaries beginning in February of 2019. As we get closer to the first primaries and the general election, we expect to see more pollsters get in the field. When discussing, please be mindful of our commenting guidelines.

State Election Polling

There has been extremely sparse polling for the gubernatorial elections in Mississippi, Louisiana and Kentucky and the legislative elections in New Jersey and Virginia. Congressman Ralph Abraham released an internal poll last Thursday showing him trailing Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards by a 45-27 margin in the jungle primary, with primary rival Eddie Rispone in third with 19 points. These were presumably in response to a private poll released last Wednesday showing Governor Edwards up by a larger 47-24 margin over him, with Eddie Rispone third with 16 points. If no candidate clears 50% in the jungle primary, a runoff is held at a later date.

Presidential Primary Polling

Pollster Date Race Biden Warren Sanders Buttigieg Harris O'Rourke Booker Yang Klobuchar Castro Steyer
DMR/CNN/Selzer 09/21 Iowa 20 22 11 9 6 2 3 2 3 1 2
Harris X/S. Rasmussen 09/20 National 28 17 16 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1
David Binder/FORA 09/18 Iowa 25 23 9 12 5 1 2 2 8 1 3
Fox 09/17 National 29 16 18 5 7 4 3 2 1 0 1
Economist/Yougov 09/17 National 26 21 14 9 6 3 2 3 1 1 0
Iowa State/Civiqs 09/17 Iowa 16 24 16 13 5 2 2 3 3 0 N/A
NBC/WSJ 09/16 National 31 25 14 7 5 1 2 4 2 1 1
SUSA 09/16 National 33 19 17 5 6 4 4 3 1 1 0
Monmouth 09/16 New Jersey 26 20 18 6 6 0 9 1 1 0 0
Emerson 09/16 California 26 20 26 4 6 5 1 7 0 1 1
POLITICO/MC 09/15 National 32 18 20 5 6 4 3 3 2 1 1
UT Tyler 09/15 Texas 28 11 17 4 6 19 6 1 0 4 1
FAU 09/15 Florida 34 24 14 5 4 2 1 2 0 0 0
SUSA 09/15 California 27 16 18 3 13 2 2 7 1 2 N/A
Change Research 09/15 California 18 25 23 10 11 2 2 3 N/A N/A N/A
Siena 09/12 New York 22 17 15 3 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
GQR/Dem. Corps 09/11 National 30 19 21 4 4 1 4 2 2 1 N/A

Resources

Register to Vote

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